Comunicat de presă


Press release on monetary indicators - November 2007

28.12.2007

Starting January 2007, the National Bank of Romania publishes the monetary indicators according to the definitions used by the European Central Bank.

At end-November 2007, broad money (M3) totalled RON 136,171.0 million, up 5.7 percent (4.7 percent in real terms) month on month. In year-on-year comparison, broad money increased 34.6 percent, or 26.2 percent in real terms.

Table 1. Monetary aggregates*
INDICATORS 30 November 2007
(RON mill.)
November 2007/
October 2007
(%)
November 2007/
November 2006**
(%)
M1 (narrow money) 72,824.3 6.8 69.9
Currency in circulation 19,700.1 6.9 41.3
Overnight deposits *** 53,124.2 6.8 83.6
M2 (intermediate money) 136,109.0 5.7 35.0
M1 72,824.3 6.8 69.9
Deposits with an agreed maturity of up to and including two years (includes also deposits redeemable at notice of up to and including three months) 63,284.7 4.5 9.3
M3 (broad money) 136,171.0 5.7 34.6
M2 136,109.0 5.7 35.0
Other marketable instruments (repurchase agreements, money market fund shares and units, negotiable debt securities with a maturity of up to and including two years) 62.0 -54.0 -82.1

*provisional data
**comparable data
***current accounts, sight deposits

Table 2. Broad money and its counterpart*
INDICATORS 30 November 2007
(RON mill.)
November 2007/October 2007
(%)
November 2007/November 2006**
(%)
Broad money (M3) 136,171.0 5.7 34.6
Net foreign assets 28,515.6 -1.8 -29.5
Net domestic assets 107,655.4 7.8 77.4

*provisional data
**comparable data

Net foreign assets dropped 1.8 percent in November 2007 to RON 28,515.6 million, as a result of "Currencies" falling 3.4 percent and "Gold" advancing 4.0 percent on account of gold stock revaluation.

Net domestic assets went up 7.8 percent to RON 107,655.4 million.

In November, non-government credit rose 5.8 percent (4.9 percent in real terms) from October 2007 to RON 141,117.6 million. RON-denominated loans moved up 2.4 percent (1.5 percent in real terms), while foreign currency-denominated loans grew by 9.1 percent when expressed in RON and by 4.0 percent when expressed in EUR. At end-November 2007, non-government credit increased 55.1 percent (45.4 percent in real terms) year on year on the back of the 38.1 percent rise in RON-denominated loans (29.5 percent in real terms) and the 74.0 percent advance in foreign currency-denominated loans expressed in RON (when expressed in EUR, forex loans expanded by 70.9 percent).

Table 3. Non-government credit*
INDICATORS 30 November 2007
(RON mill.)
November 2007/October 2007
(%)
November 2007/November 2006**
(%)
Non-government credit (total) 141,117.6 5.8 55.1
RON-denominated non-government credit, of which: 66,272.2 2.4 38.1
- household credit 32,925.4 2.6 44.8
- corporate credit (non-financial corporations and non-monetary financial institutions) 33,346.8 2.3 32.0
Forex-denominated non-government credit, of which: 74,845.4 9.1 74.0
- household credit 34,891.2 11.9 123.1
- corporate credit (non-financial corporations and non-monetary financial institutions) 39,954.2 6.7 46.0

*provisional data
**comparable data

Government credit1 (central government, local government and social security funds) rose 5.6 percent to RON 9.373.8 million. At end-November 2007, government credit surged 297.3 percent, or 272.5 percent in real terms, from the same year-ago period.

Deposits of non-government resident customers grew month on month by 5.6 percent, reaching RON 118,642.0 million.

Table 4. Deposits of non-government resident customers*
INDICATORS 30 November 2007
(RON mill.)
November 2007/October 2007
(%)
November 2007/November 2006**
(%)
Deposits of non-government resident customers (total)*** 118,642.0 5.6 35.1
RON-denominated deposits of residents, of which: 80,149.5 5.0 37.3
- household deposits 40,149.0 4.4 52.9
- corporate deposits (non-financial corporations and non-monetary financial institutions) 40,000.5 5.5 24.4
Forex-denominated deposits of residents, of which: 38,492.5 6.8 30.8
- household deposits 23,050.1 8.5 55.1
-corporate deposits (non-financial corporations and non-monetary financial institutions) 15,442.4 4.4 5.9

*provisional data
**comparable data
***includes all deposits, irrespective of maturity

RON-denominated household deposits advanced 4.4 percent to RON 40,149.0 million. At end-November 2007, household deposits in domestic currency leapt 52.9 percent (43.4 percent in real terms) from the same year-ago period.

RON-denominated corporate deposits (non-financial corporations and non-monetary financial institutions) added 5.5 percent to RON 40,000.5 million. At end-November 2007, RON-denominated corporate deposits rose year on year by 24.4 percent, or 16.7 percent in real terms.

Forex-denominated deposits of resident households and corporates (non-financial corporations and non-monetary financial institutions) picked up 6.8 percent to RON 38,492.5 million when expressed in domestic currency (when expressed in EUR, forex deposits edged up 1.9 percent to EUR 11,006.3 million). In year-on-year comparison, residents' forex deposits expressed in EUR expanded by 28.4 percent, household deposits in foreign exchange by 52.3 percent, and deposits in foreign exchange of corporates (non-financial corporations and non-monetary financial institutions) by 4.0 percent.


1Marketable securities included

 

NOTE:

  • Narrow monetary aggregate (M1) comprises currency in circulation (banknotes and coins) plus overnight deposits (deposits immediately convertible into cash or used for making payments via bank transfer).
  • Intermediate monetary aggregate (M2) comprises M1 plus deposits with an agreed maturity of up to and including two years and deposits redeemable at a period of notice of up to and including three months. The definition of M2 mirrors the interest in analysing and monitoring a monetary aggregate which, apart from cash, includes highly liquid deposits as well.
  • Broad monetary aggregate (M3) comprises M2 plus marketable instruments issued by monetary and financial institutions; money market instruments, in particular money market fund shares and units and borrowings from repurchase agreements, are included in this monetary aggregate (their highly-liquid nature makes these instruments be substitutes for deposits).

The definitions of monetary aggregates in compliance with ECB methodology and the classification of financial instruments by institutional sector according to ESA 95 (European System of Accounts) gave rise to influences between monetary aggregate components and between their counterparts.

Compared to the structure of monetary indicators used by the NBR until December 2006 included, the major reclassifications are as follows:

  • monetary aggregate M1 comprises, in addition to the structure employed until December 2006, RON-denominated household savings at sight and forex-denominated household and corporate deposits at sight (which were previously included under quasi-money); it is assumed that they are as liquid as RON-denominated corporate money holdings at sight;
  • deposits with an agreed maturity of over two years are no longer included in broad money, as they are part of its counterpart (net domestic assets);
  • deposits of local government and social security funds are included in broad money and removed from its counterpart (net domestic assets).