Comunicat de presă


Balance of payments and external debt – January 2025

17.03.2025

In January 2025p, the balance-of-payments current account posted a deficit of EUR 1,646 million, compared with EUR 1,420 million in January 2024. The breakdown shows that the deficit on trade in goods widened by EUR 719 million, the surplus on services fell by EUR 87 million, the primary income balance made a positive contribution of EUR 654 million, while the secondary income surplus decreased by EUR 74 million.

Balance of payments current account (EUR million)
  January 2024 January 2025p
CREDIT DEBIT BALANCE CREDIT DEBIT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT (A+B+C) 11,183 12,603 -1,420 12,203 13,849 -1,646
A. Goods and services 9,545 10,617 -1,072 9,910 11,788 -1,878
a. Goods 6,643 8,567 -1,924 6,808 9,451 -2,643
b. Services 2,902 2,050 852 3,102 2,337 765
- manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others 230 7 223 235 10 225
- transport 670 363 307 756 403 353
- tourism-travel 343 650 -307 339 755 -416
- telecommunications, computer, and information services 807 331 476 820 336 484
- other 852 699 153 952 833 119
B. Primary income 1,153 1,608 -455 1,755 1,556 199
C. Secondary income 485 378 107 538 505 33

p - provisional data

Non-residents’ direct investmente in Romania totalled EUR 543 million (compared with EUR 1,148 million in January 2024), of which equity (including the estimated reinvestment of earnings) and intercompany lending recorded net values of EUR 581 million and EUR -38 million, respectively.

In January 2025, total external debt decreased by EUR 1,632 million to EUR 201,943 million, of which:

  • long-term external debt at end-January 2025 ran at EUR 153,461 million (76 percent of total external debt), down 0.6 percent against end-2024;
  • short-term external debt at end-January 2025 amounted to EUR 48,482 million (24 percent of total external debt), down 1.3 percent from end-2024.

Romania’s external debt and external debt service
  External debt External debt service, 1M 2025p
End-2024 End-January 2025p
1. General government 107,101 106,723 387
Currency and deposits 183 451 1
Debt securities 73,619 72,899 343
Loans 17,154 17,222 29
Trade credit and advances 213 219 14
Other accounts payable* 15,932 15,932 0
2. Central Bank 4,533 3,424 1,120
Currency and deposits 1,122 2 1,120
Debt securities 0 0 0
Loans 0 0 0
Allocation of SDRs 3,411 3,422 0
Other accounts payable 0 0 0
3. Deposit taking corporations except the central bank 12,880 12,845 778
Currency and deposits 7,265 7,199 757
Debt securities 5,529 5,530 3
Loans 0 0 0
Other accounts payable 86 116 18
4. Other sectors 29,772 29,592 2,249
Currency and deposits 0 0 0
Debt securities 855 863 0
Loans 14,854 14,552 1,167
Trade credit and advances 13,753 13,863 1,067
Other accounts payable 310 314 15
I. EXTERNAL DEBT (1+2+3+4)** 154,286 152,584 4,534
II. DIRECT INVESTMENT: INTERCOMPANY LENDING 49,289 49,359 3,125
TOTAL EXTERNAL DEBT (I+II)
   of which:
203,575 201,943 7,659
Short term 49,142 48,482 6,790
Long term 154,433 153,461 869

p - provisional data
* include the liabilities related to the recording of EU funds on an accrual basis
**except debt instruments related to direct investment

Long-term external debt service ratio stood at 8.8 percent in January 2025 against 16.5 percent in 2024. At end-January 2025, goods and services import cover ran at 5.9 months, as compared to 5.8 months at end-2024.

At end-January 2025, the ratio of the National Bank of Romania’s foreign exchange reserves to short-term external debt by remaining maturity came in at 98.6 percent, as against 100.3 percent at end-2024.

Methodological Notes

  1. Statistical data for the period 2010 – 2023 have been updated within the 2024 benchmark review methodological framework. Starting with the current press release, the data are compiled within the same methodological framework. More details can be found by accessing the following link: https://www.bnr.ro/en/23918-2024-benchmark-revision-of-external-statistics.
  2. Data are updated on a monthly basis. Data for the current period together with the revised data for the base period are available under External Sector -> Balance of Payments; historical monthly and quarterly data going back to 2005 are available in the Interactive database.
  3. The international methodological standard on balance of payments compilation is ensured by the IMF’s sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6). The BPM6 methodology has been transposed into the EU legislation based on Commission Regulation (EU) No 555/2012 amending Regulation (EC) No 184/2005 of the European Parliament and of the Council on Community statistics concerning balance of payments, international trade in services and foreign direct investment, as regards the update of data requirements and definitions.
  4. In order to analyse current account data, the following aspects should be considered:
    1. 3.1. Goods (on a BOP basis): Source: National Institute of Statistics – International Trade of Goods. Imports FOB are calculated by the NBR based on the CIF/FOB conversion factor set by the NIS. The balance of payments principle consists in entering goods based on the “change in economic ownership” criterion (goods acquired by residents are included, irrespective of whether the goods cross the country border or not), while in international trade statistics goods are recorded based on the “cross-border” criterion (goods are recorded when crossing the border, irrespective of whether they belong to residents or not). In order to ensure compliance with the “change in economic ownership” criterion, the NIS data are adjusted by the NBR, therefore the values of exports and imports of goods in the BOP statistics are different from those in the statistics on the international trade of goods;
    2. 3.2. Services: Source: Quarterly Survey on International Trade in Services;
    3. 3.3. Primary income: includes compensation of employees, investment income (direct investment, portfolio investment, other investment) and other primary income (taxes, subsidies);
    4. 3.4. Secondary income: includes current private transfers and transfers of the general government.
  5. Foreign direct investment: The permanent debt between affiliated financial intermediaries (banks, NBFIs) is not treated as direct investment, but recorded under financial account/other investment.
  6. The statistical standards for the external debt breakdown by institutional sector are provided by the IMF’s manuals External Debt Statistics Guide for Compilers and Users (2014), Balance of Payments and International Investment Position, 6th edition (BPM6) and System of National Accounts 2008 (SNA).
  7. Long-term external debt service ratio is calculated as a ratio of long-term external debt service to exports of goods and services.
  8. Import cover is calculated as a ratio of international reserves (foreign exchange + gold) at the end of period to average monthly imports of goods and services for the period under review.
  9. Short-term external debt by remaining maturity refers to the short-term external debt outstanding at the end of period plus the payments related to long-term external debt due in the following 12 months.

The next monthly press release on “Balance of payments and external debt” will be issued on 11 April 2025.